NFL Week 16 odds picks best bets Rams cover vs. Saints Eagles rebound big vs. Giants
NFL Week 16 odds picks best bets Rams cover vs. Saints Eagles rebound big vs. Giants
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Merry Christmas, friends. We had Austin Voth Jersey another one of those weeks where we had a winning record, but the top five fell short. The pushed as three-point favorites, the came through, but I was just flat-out wrong about the , and . Sorry, I didn't know was . My bad.All that said, I'll brag about taking the +3 and +4. An 8-6-2 ATS week overall. Here's a look at what I'm thinking in Week 16. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.Top five picks ATS record: 33-38-4Overall ATS record: 99-114-11Straight up record: 133-91Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET ()I really like the Rams. I backed them last week and I'll do it again here. Skipping over that matchup in which they covered, did you watch against the the week prior? The vet showed up on the road and threw three touchdowns while rushed for 114 yards. The Rams lost in overtime, but it was because their special teams gave up a punt return touchdown. Stafford has thrown 12 touchdowns over the past four contests, which ranks most in the , while the Saints have lost four straight games on Thursday. L.A. is super dangerous when healthy. The Rams average 6.7 yards per play when Stafford, Williams, and are all on the field this season. I'll give you that the -4 number is meh, but the Saints are 4-9-1 ATS while the Rams have covered in four straight games -- the longest active streak in the league.The pick:Rams -4Projected score:Rams 27-21Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,) is reportedly expected to mi s another game due to his concu sion, and while scored an overtime win over the Titans in their Oilers uniforms on Sunday, this Browns squad is a different team. The Titans' defense isn't elite, while the Browns allow an average of 261.1 yards per game, which are the fewest since the 2009 .So, advantage Browns defense. What about the offense? I'm taking over Keenum. Can he turn the ball over? Sure. But he was called upon to save the Browns season, not play it safe. He has the fifth-most pa sing yards (939) in a quarterback's first three games with a team since 1970! I'm not going to pretend like the Browns are dominating opponents, but they are 5-0 in games decided by 3 or fewer points this season. If we are power-ranking , the Browns are probably above the Texans on every list. Why not take them with the number under a field goal? The pick:Browns -2.5Projected score:Browns 23-17Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS,)My dad's birthday is this week. He's a longtime suffering Washington fan, which has likely taken years off his life. It's the sacrifice we make as sports fans. Why do we do it? I'm not really sure.In 2008, he took me to Canton to watch Darrell Green and Art Monk be inducted into the Pro Football Hall of Fame. I'll never Sean Doolittle Jersey forget having to stand for FOUR MINUTES as we applauded Monk. Have you ever stood for four minutes and clapped? It was insane. It was the .Thanks, dad. Happy birthday.The pick:Commanders +3Projected score:Commanders 14-13Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox,)My column has basically been me picking the Lions to cover, and then they let me down. I wanted to swear off them for good, but I picked them to cover vs. the last week, so I'm hoping for a Christmas miracle by bumping them up to the top five again. The Lions SHOULD be three points better than and Co. It just really depends on if this team "shows up." What do I mean by that? Well, Detroit could have one of the best offenses in the league with , , , , etc. If they take care of the ball, Detroit wins this game. I'm not high on the Lions defense, but can the Vikings really outscore an offense that's top five in scoring?The pick:Lions -3Projected score:Lions 27-20Monday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox,)I don't care if needs a dictionary for the word "commitment," this is a bounce-back spot for the Eagles. Life has been hard the past three weeks for Philadelphia, no doubt about it. Stephen Strasburg Jersey But the Eagles are so much better than this Giants team.New York is 2-6 ATS on the road this season, and just 1-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs. The Eagles have been put on notice, and have a very winnable schedule down the stretch to secure the NFC East. At home, give me Philly to finally get right. The pick:Eagles -12Projected score:Eagles 27-14 (+2) 14-13 over Bengals (-12) 28-13 over (+1) 24-21 over Packers 23-20 over Panthers (+5)Seahawks (-2.5) 24-20 over Titans (PICK) 26-23 over 24-22 over (+4)Cowboys (+1.5) 29-26 over Broncos 17-16 over (+6.5) (-10) 27-16 over (-5.5) 28-21 over Ravens
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